Yeah I agree with this. Its more the norm for the next model year to be released in Q3 and Q4 of the current year. Definitely not as common for them to appear in Q1 or Q2 of the current year (but it definitely still happens). Due to delays, the all new 2022 WRX didn't follow any of the norm as I believe it was released at the end of Q1 2022.To the OP's original point, we're reaching the beginning of the time period where the 2023 model year would normally be released, the last few months of the previous calendar year. So 2024s would still generally be a year away.