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Having too much range is a bad thing now?
www.cnet.com

Don't Buy an EV With Too Much Range
The most range you can get isn't always the right amount.

Oof....I needed about 120 miles a day for my commute (Don't ask, they changed offices on me and didn't offer relocation). The Bolt was making it, but many times I drove without heat as that took a 25% hit on range....
I don't disagree, particularly if the EV being purchased will likely become "the vehicle" for all uses including those that require more range and especially for a one vehicle household. That said, I'm not personally all that worried about having to replace a battery. I do buy my vehicles, but they are 5-7 year entities, not super long term.If you buy, then it is about how long you plan to keep your car (time and miles).
If the battery warranty does not support that claim, I would not believe it. Chevrolet allowed a 40% degradation before they would address any battery concerns. The question is when does the battery hit 90%? The way it is worded, we would assume year 9, but it is very likely it will be mostly after year 1 and then plateau as the final percentages add up.The Solterra/BZ4X battery pack is designed to retain at least 90% capacity after 10 years: Toyota bZ4X Battery To Retain 90% Capacity After 10 Years
I'm seeing the opposite happen near term. We are moving to cheaper LFP/LiFe/A123 since the raw materials are plentiful but these batteries are less energy dense and heavier.I think in the somewhat near future, battery technology will be at the point that "long" range vehicles won't pay a significant weight penalty. Hoping anyway.
l’ve been waiting ten years now for first widely commercial solid state batteries. And nothing… I own $10K in hobby grade lithium batteries for RC jets and helis and want higher energy density. Still nothing. It seems commercial research is focused on cheaper… like sodium-ion based batteries.Ok, see you back here in 5 years to see whose prediction is closer!
I agree that PHEV can be a lot more practical for people - give me a PHEV Outback with ~30miles EV-only range and I'd be very happy. Heck, double the Crosstrek PHEV range and get rid of the tacky blue trim inside and I'd consider downsizing . I do have some mild concerns about that kind of thing, mainly maintenance (oil change timing, etc.), but I think it makes a lot of sense for a lot of people. If memory serves, Dodge might have said they're doing an EV truck with a "range extender" generator? Which kinda sounds like a PHEV but a lot more battery capacity.l’ve been waiting ten years now for first widely commercial solid state batteries. And nothing… I own $10K in hobby grade lithium batteries for RC jets and helis and want higher energy density. Still nothing. It seems commercial research is focused on cheaper… like sodium-ion based batteries.
Wet fuel still has 800x the energy density (by volume/weight) of li-ion batteries which is why large commercial passenger planes aren’t likely to be battery powered for very long time… or ever. There simply hasn’t been any energy density breakthroughs and even if… manufacturing of high grade batteries is non trivial and will not happen overnight.
My argument riles up BEVs owners (and I own a Model Y) - PHEVs are infinitely more practical until charging is everywhere or until battery tech improves which might be 10-30 years. Heck, Li-ion research is 20-30 years old and patents are beginning to expire on them.
This will not be your only opportunity to buy a Solterra, or any EV for that matter. If you have misgivings now, given your driving patterns, then perhaps it would be good to not turn those misgivings into regrets. If you buy the Solterra now, and then find out it's not right for you, you will likely regret it. If you take a pass now, you'll have it (and other EVs) to choose from later, it's unlikely you'll regret NOT getting a first-year first-gen Solterra.I don’t necessarily agree with the author. From what I can tell they start with 14,500 miles on average in a year and then switch the measurement to number of trips (though I could have misread as haven’t had my tea yet to wake up) But if 87% of my trips are under 40 miles, what about the other 13%? Someone else posted, and if I recall correctly, the majority of their trips were short but the majority of miles was from longer ones. I equate it to my life, I take thousands more car trips in a year than I do plane, but I certainly fly a lot more miles. I’ll also don’t mind the heavier weight with all of the pickups and suvs on the road as I don’t want to be part of the 40-50% increase in fatalities. I’m sure we could all have a lot of fun debating the morals/ethics of that.
Keeping a car or renting one to cover 13% of my trips or for the majority of miles driven doesn’t make sense as we are a 1 car house. The few times we both need to get someplace, we use public transportation or call a Lyft.
Help me out! I still struggle with the value prop of the Solterra, especially if it is just an around town car. Is it the claim of battery life, the 1-2 inches of ground clearance over the competitors? For you does that beat out the slow charging and low range? Legit ask as I really want this car but the logical part of me will always win over the emotional side.
For example, look at the upgrades that have gone into the Polestar 2 in the past couple years -- it almost seems like a different car.This will not be your only opportunity to buy a Solterra, or any EV for that matter. If you have misgivings now, given your driving patterns, then perhaps it would be good to not turn those misgivings into regrets. If you buy the Solterra now, and then find out it's not right for you, you will likely regret it. If you take a pass now, you'll have it (and other EVs) to choose from later, it's unlikely you'll regret NOT getting a first-year first-gen Solterra.
Just my 2 cents worth, FWIW (what I would do if I was in your situation).
Aside: renting a car for long trips isn't the worst thing you can do....
I'm not denying what's possible, but I'm not buying the Solterra in the hopes that what's possible will actually come to pass. I'm buying it based on what it already is.For example, look at the upgrades that have gone into the Polestar 2 in the past couple years -- it almost seems like a different car.